EUR/USD at Two Months Low

U.S. dollar rallied to its two months low at 1.3320 today. Surprisingly the United States Trade Balance Deficit for April 2007 was reported almost 5 billion dollars lower than predicted $58.5 billion, whereas March Trade Balance Deficit was revised to $62.4 billion (almost a billion lower than previous value). Trade Balance Deficit tightening was caused by both lower import and higher export which is a very good sign for the U.S. economics. But this wasn't the main reason for today's EUR/USD correction, the main reason was the higher yield for U.S. bonds which broke through 5.00% yesterday and now many long term investors need to buy dollars to get into the bonds.

EUR/USD Bearish after Fundamental News

EUR/USD broke through 1.3400 today on Forex market - showing a new 7-week low. Good macroeconomic data from U.S. was the reason for this break-through. Nonfarm payrolls - a major employment indicator of the U.S. economy - increased by 157,000 in May (22 thousands more than expected), while ISM Index - reported an increase by 0.3% up to 55.0% (against 54.0% expected). ISM Index means a lot in the U.S. economy because it describes its most powerful industries, and greatly influences FOMC rate decisions. Now it is quite possible to see an increase in U.S. interest rates by 0.25% this Fall, in my opinion.